Snapshot risk-market source metadata7/4/2026, 3:20:46 PM
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polymarket23 medium
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Price 8%Volume 114.7KLiquidity 21.3KClose 12/31/2026, 12:00:00 AMScored 7/4/2026, 3:20:46 PMDriver contract ambiguity
Market detail preview
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Resolution Risk
medium
Estimated band 30-50
fixture checked / not historically calibrated
30-50band
Needs manual review before treating this score as reliable. Band widened for incomplete or ambiguous information.
Deterministic resolution-risk scoring across rules clarity, source authority, deadline boundaries, outcome determinability, evidence conflict, and related-market mismatch.
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Resolution risk score
23
Heuristic point estimate; use the band.
Estimated band
30-50
Wider deterministic band because source, outcome, platform, parser, or evidence uncertainty remains. Fixture-checked, not historically calibrated.
Epistemic confidence
low
Source chain confidence is weak or source precedence is unclear. / Parsed rule text still contains temporal or subjective ambiguity.
Review priority
29
Data confidence
Confidence n/a
Evidence completeness
0
complete
Outcome policy
binary
Outcome risk 0/100
Platform resolution
official source
Finality partially known / Dispute none known / Platform risk 0/100
Source chain
unknown
Revision low / Latency low / Policy multiple sources no hierarchy / Source risk 48/100
Parsed rule
unknown
Title unknown
Assessment state
needs manual review
contract ambiguity
Risk Breakdown
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Source quality: embedded source in rules
Source: Unlock in Pro
low rule risk
No rule or clarification change has been detected.
Updated 6/10/2026, 4:07:20 PM
Rules text, settlement source, field diff, original/latest snapshots, and canonical JSON unlock in Pro.
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