Snapshot risk-market source metadata11/5/2026, 9:26:12 AM
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kalshi61 high
Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in December 2026?
Price 4%Volume -Liquidity -Close 1/13/2027, 1:29:00 PMScored 11/5/2026, 9:26:12 AMDriver mixed
Market detail preview
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Resolution Risk
high
Estimated band 44-78
fixture checked / not historically calibrated
44-78band
Needs manual review before treating this score as reliable. Band widened for incomplete or ambiguous information.
Deterministic resolution-risk scoring across rules clarity, source authority, deadline boundaries, outcome determinability, evidence conflict, and related-market mismatch.
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Resolution risk score
61
Heuristic point estimate; use the band.
Estimated band
44-78
Wider deterministic band because source, outcome, platform, parser, or evidence uncertainty remains. Fixture-checked, not historically calibrated.
Epistemic confidence
low
Resolution source data is missing. / Platform resolution authority or finality is unknown.
Review priority
74
Data confidence
Confidence n/a
Evidence completeness
0
missing source
Outcome policy
binary
Outcome risk 0/100
Platform resolution
unknown
Finality unknown / Dispute unknown / Platform risk 100/100
Source chain
unknown
Revision high / Latency medium / Policy explicit primary source / Source risk 64/100
Parsed rule
publication time
Title unknown
Assessment state
needs manual review
mixed
Risk Breakdown
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Source quality: missing source
Source: Unlock in Pro
medium rule risk
Rule changedTiming riskSource risk
Resolution timing or deadline wording changed in timing.
Updated 10/13/2026, 3:55:36 PM
Changed fields: Timing
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